Latest Financial Planning News

Deprecated: mysql_connect(): The mysql extension is deprecated and will be removed in the future: use mysqli or PDO instead in /home/sowacctw/public_html/articles/sow_server_v3.php on line 530
Hot Issues
Women still outpacing men in SMSF establishments
Economic and market outlook for 2025: Global summary
Preparing to lodge quarterly January TBAR
How to overcome your investment fears
Navigating the outcome of the U.S. election
Divorce doesn’t alter contribution rules
$3m super tax officially abandoned for this year
Top 20 Most Watched Christmas Movies ever - pre covid
A Unique Advent Calendar
ATO reviewing all new SMSF registrations to stop illegal early access
Compliance documents crucial for SMSFs
Investment and economic outlook, October 2024
Leaving super to an estate makes more tax sense, says expert
Be clear on TBA pension impact
Caregiving can have a retirement sting
The biggest assets growth areas for SMSFs
20 Years of Silicon Valley Trends: 2004 - 2024 Insights
Investment and economic outlook, September 2024
Economic slowdown drives mixed reporting season
ATO stats show continued growth in SMSF sector
What are the government’s intentions with negative gearing?
A new day for Federal Reserve policy
Age pension fails to meet retirement needs
ASIC extends reportable situations relief and personal advice record-keeping requirements
The Leaders Who Refused to Step Down 1939 - 2024
ATO encourages trustees to use voluntary disclosure service
Beware of terminal illness payout time frame
Capital losses can help reduce NALI
Investment and economic outlook, August 2024
What the Reserve Bank’s rates stance means for property borrowers
How investing regularly can propel your returns
Super sector in ASIC’s sights
Most Popular Operating Systems 1999 - 2022
Treasurer unveils design details for payday super
Articles archive
Quarter 3 July - September 2024
Quarter 2 April - June 2024
Quarter 1 January - March 2024
Quarter 4 October - December 2023
Quarter 3 July - September 2023
Quarter 2 April - June 2023
Quarter 1 January - March 2023
Quarter 4 October - December 2022
Quarter 3 July - September 2022
Quarter 2 April - June 2022
Quarter 1 January - March 2022
Quarter 4 October - December 2021
Quarter 3 July - September 2021
Quarter 2 April - June 2021
Quarter 1 January - March 2021
Quarter 4 October - December 2020
Quarter 3 July - September 2020
Quarter 2 April - June 2020
Quarter 1 January - March 2020
Quarter 4 October - December 2019
Quarter 3 July - September 2019
Quarter 2 April - June 2019
Quarter 1 January - March 2019
Quarter 4 October - December 2018
Quarter 3 July - September 2018
Quarter 2 April - June 2018
Quarter 1 January - March 2018
Quarter 4 October - December 2017
Quarter 3 July - September 2017
Quarter 2 April - June 2017
Quarter 1 January - March 2017
Quarter 4 October - December 2016
Quarter 3 July - September 2016
Quarter 2 April - June 2016
Quarter 1 January - March 2016
Quarter 4 October - December 2015
Quarter 3 July - September 2015
Quarter 2 April - June 2015
Quarter 1 January - March 2015
Quarter 4 October - December 2014
Quarter 3 July - September 2014
Quarter 2 April - June 2014
Quarter 1 January - March 2014
Quarter 4 October - December 2013
Quarter 3 July - September 2013
Quarter 2 April - June 2013
Quarter 1 January - March 2013
Quarter 4 October - December 2012
Quarter 3 July - September 2012
Quarter 2 April - June 2012
Quarter 1 January - March 2012
Quarter 4 October - December 2011
Quarter 3 July - September 2011
Quarter 2 April - June 2011
Quarter 1 January - March 2011
Quarter 4 October - December 2010
Quarter 3 July - September 2010
Quarter 2 April - June 2010
Quarter 1 January - March 2010
Quarter 4 October - December 2009
Quarter 3 July - September 2009
Quarter 2 April - June 2009
Quarter 1 January - March 2009
Quarter 4 October - December 2008
Quarter 3 July - September 2008
Quarter 2 April - June 2008
Quarter 1 January - March 2008
Quarter 4 October - December 2007
Quarter 3 July - September 2007
Quarter 2 April - June 2007
Quarter 1 January - March 2007
Quarter 4 October - December 2006
Quarter 3 July - September 2006
Quarter 2 April - June 2006
Quarter 1 January - March 2006
Quarter 4 October - December 2005
Quarter 3 of 2007
Articles
Super Calculator
Not too late to convert assets into a tax-free retirement income stream
Paid of in Dividends
Stock Lab: Guide to analysing stocks (Part 1)
Investment Markets Data - To 31st August 2007.
Another service you'll find of use on our website - eWombat
Don't overlook CGT.
Sub-prime what?
Weathering the storm
Investment Markets Data - To 31st July 2007.
A vital question about your domain name(s).
Against the trend
What is the ideal mix of companies?
The estate-planning challenge
Investing in a toppy market
Investment Markets Data - To 30th June 2007.

Deprecated: Function split() is deprecated in /home/sowacctw/public_html/articles/sow_server_v3.php on line 268
Investing in a toppy market

Toni Case - July 16, 2007
CompareShares.com.au


As the market continues its upward march, the question on everyone's lips is "Have we peaked?". Toni Case looks at investing in a toppy market

In every boom there's always a moment when investors mull over the thought that the current boom will be stronger for longer this time around. But in every boom there's also a moment when investors survey their surroundings and question: should I be selling out before it's too late?

Today, as investors sit at the top of the curve - after almost four years of surging sharemarket conditions - the fear of losing gains is making it increasingly tough to sit still.

But easing concerns for many are the market fundamentals at play this time around. Investors are no doubt thinking: well, the fast-growing economies of China and India are fuelling demand for our coal, aluminum and iron ore exports, and this doesn't seem to be petering out any time soon. There's also the relentless surge in private equity, inflation is fairly benign, and lastly there's the flood of super money and the Federal Government's future fund - the largest pool of money ever created in Australia - spilling into the sharemarket on a regular basis. Understandably, investors considering these factors are fairly upbeat on how long the boom can last.

Indeed, many signals are pointing in favour of the argument for a stronger for longer boom. But a quick reminder of the history of boom and bust cycles will jog investors back to the realisation that sharemarket booms never continue indefinitely. Highs are followed by lows and it's this ebb and flow that defines the cycle of life and the sharemarket.

So if the current boom will inevitably result in a market correction, should you sell out now - and shift your funds into cash - or hold on for the ride?

Investing is never black and white, and moving funds in and out of cash is rarely the best option for any investor regardless of the market cycle. Rather, maintaining a diversified portfolio and ensuring that the euphoria of the market is not unduly affecting your investing decisions is a good start.

For example, as the market steams ahead, investors can fall into the habit of buying stocks indiscriminately without weighing up the merits of one share over another and their respective risk levels. Indeed, while everyone is a successful investor during market booms - the true investor shines during less buoyant times.

While it could be premature to start building a bunker portfolio today in preparation for a large-scale market correction, investors may wish to look at measures to protect their portfolio in the event of more turbulent conditions ahead:

Diversification - don't be too exposed to one share, sector or asset class. While commodities might be booming, for example, it's not wise to have every penny riding on the fate of the resources sector.

Holdings of defensive stocks - should the market correct, do you hold sufficient defensive stocks in your portfolio? These are the stocks that will fare well regardless of economic conditions - such as food and beverage, banks and healthcare.

Hedging - sophisticated investors may look at opportunities to hedge their biggest share holdings or the broader market via CFDs or options. Hedging basically involves taking an equal and opposite view on a stock or index so that a negative market move leaves you in a neutral position.

It's often said that when the great bulk of people think the boom will continue indefinitely, the peak of the cycle is nigh. The best preparation for investors is to keep in mind that booms don't continue in finitum - and to be always prepared for the worst.

 

By CompareShares.com.au – for more articles like this click here   CompareShares.com.au is Australia’s pre-eminent news and investing site for investors and traders, covering shares, superannuation, property, financial planning strategies and more.



17th-July-2007