Thursday 19 Sep 2024
Latest Financial Planning News
Hot Issues
ATO encourages trustees to use voluntary disclosure service
Beware of terminal illness payout time frame
Capital losses can help reduce NALI
Investment and economic outlook, August 2024
What the Reserve Bank’s rates stance means for property borrowers
How investing regularly can propel your returns
Super sector in ASIC’s sights
Most Popular Operating Systems 1999 - 2022
Our investment and economic outlook, July 2024
Striking a balance in the new financial year
The five reasons why the $A is likely to rise further - if recession is avoided
What super fund members should know when comparing returns
Insurance inside super has tax advantages
It’s never too early to start talking about aged care with clients
Capacity doubts now more common
Most Gold Medals in Summer Olympic Games (1896-2024)
SMSF assets reach record levels amid share market rally
Many Australians have a fear of running out
How to get into the retirement comfort zone
NALE bill passed by parliament
Compliance focus impacts wind-ups
LRBA interest rates increase for 2025
Income-free areas set to increase from 1 July
Most Spoken Languages in the World
Middle-to-higher incomes boosting SMSF growth
Investment and economic outlook, May 2024
Transitioning into retirement: What you should know
Plan now to take advantage of stage 3 tax cuts
Deeming freeze a win for Age Pensioners
Articles archive
Quarter 2 April - June 2024
Quarter 1 January - March 2024
Quarter 4 October - December 2023
Quarter 3 July - September 2023
Quarter 2 April - June 2023
Quarter 1 January - March 2023
Quarter 4 October - December 2022
Quarter 3 July - September 2022
Quarter 2 April - June 2022
Quarter 1 January - March 2022
Quarter 4 October - December 2021
Quarter 3 July - September 2021
Quarter 2 April - June 2021
Quarter 1 January - March 2021
Quarter 4 October - December 2020
Quarter 3 July - September 2020
Quarter 2 April - June 2020
Quarter 1 January - March 2020
Quarter 4 October - December 2019
Quarter 3 July - September 2019
Quarter 2 April - June 2019
Quarter 1 January - March 2019
Quarter 4 October - December 2018
Quarter 3 July - September 2018
Quarter 2 April - June 2018
Quarter 1 January - March 2018
Quarter 4 October - December 2017
Quarter 3 July - September 2017
Quarter 2 April - June 2017
Quarter 1 January - March 2017
Quarter 4 October - December 2016
Quarter 3 July - September 2016
Quarter 2 April - June 2016
Quarter 1 January - March 2016
Quarter 4 October - December 2015
Quarter 3 July - September 2015
Quarter 2 April - June 2015
Quarter 1 January - March 2015
Quarter 4 October - December 2014
Quarter 3 July - September 2014
Quarter 2 April - June 2014
Quarter 1 January - March 2014
Quarter 4 October - December 2013
Quarter 3 July - September 2013
Quarter 2 April - June 2013
Quarter 1 January - March 2013
Quarter 4 October - December 2012
Quarter 3 July - September 2012
Quarter 2 April - June 2012
Quarter 1 January - March 2012
Quarter 4 October - December 2011
Quarter 3 July - September 2011
Quarter 2 April - June 2011
Quarter 1 January - March 2011
Quarter 4 October - December 2010
Quarter 3 July - September 2010
Quarter 2 April - June 2010
Quarter 1 January - March 2010
Quarter 4 October - December 2009
Quarter 3 July - September 2009
Quarter 2 April - June 2009
Quarter 1 January - March 2009
Quarter 4 October - December 2008
Quarter 3 July - September 2008
Quarter 2 April - June 2008
Quarter 1 January - March 2008
Quarter 4 October - December 2007
Quarter 3 July - September 2007
Quarter 2 April - June 2007
Quarter 1 January - March 2007
Quarter 4 October - December 2006
Quarter 3 July - September 2006
Quarter 2 April - June 2006
Quarter 1 January - March 2006
Quarter 2 of 2012
Articles
Asian Growth Engine
Can investors adapt to a deleveraging world?
Last-minute super contributions
ATO focuses on novice investors
Market Update - 31st May 2012
SMSF: Costs versus performance
Australian House Prices down 10% from Peak
Some financial jargon defined
Investors sweat as Spaniards protest austerity
Once again, the budget shifts the super goalposts
Market Update - 30th April 2012
Federal Budget 2012-13  -  An Overview
Federal Budget 2012 - 2013  -  At a Glance
The Federal Budget 2012 - 2013
Do you like to do some of your own tax, super, pension, etc research?
A question for Baby Boomers
Terminology: Pension and Cash Rate
Dressed up tax schemes
The war at the end of the US dollar
Market and Asset Class Reports as at 31st March
Asian Growth Engine

 

Investors have heard a lot about the slowdown in developed markets, how emerging markets are looking more promising in terms of ...


... economic growth and that Asian markets have some of the best growth potential. But just how good are Asian markets looking for investors?

If the latest quarterly results out of Asia are anything to go by, then the future is looking stronger for markets there.

In the first quarter of 2012, companies like Samsung Electronics delivered 81-per-cent profit growth year on year off 22.4-per-cent revenue growth. This has been driven by strong performance in the smartphone segment where it moved to the number one position in global sales, a position Samsung already holds for other key products, TVs and memory chips. The Korean company is seeing better margins as its global presence in this high-growth and high-margin category increases.

Similarly, in the first quarter Hyundai Motor was able to deliver 59.9-per-cent profit growth off 8-per-cent revenue growth as it continues to improve product pricing, gain economies of scale and demand for its cars continues to be healthy - even in Europe where sales grew 30 per cent in the first quarter over the prior year.

Clearly there are other companies that are seeing the impact of a recession in Europe and sluggish growth in other markets, but this is still a market where leading Asian companies that are improving product quality can continue to increase global market share by offering good value-for-money products. But since the end of March we have seen earnings revisions for both Korea and Malaysia of more than 5 per cent that are keeping earnings-based valuations in these markets very attractive.

Asian markets are attractively priced following the market correction of 2011. The region is now trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.7 times, which is at a deep discount to the five-year average of around 13 times. Asian companies are expected to deliver double-digit earnings growth over the next two years.

Similarly on a price-to-book basis, the current valuation is 1.6 times book value (versus the five-year average of 2.1 times), and yet the return on equity (ROE) is much higher than it was five and 10 years ago. On both valuation measures we are still one standard deviation below from five and 10-year averages. Markets are continuing to price-in a lot of bad news. This is good news for investors.

Asian corporate balance sheets continue to be in very healthy shape and economic growth prospects remain sound. By focusing on a company's fundamentals, especially on those that are increasing global market share, it is possible, even in a sluggish economic environment, to find companies that can deliver high and increasing returns on equity and assets.

Four reasons to jump in

Multinational corporations are increasingly highlighting Asia as the key focus for their future investment plans. Given their potential to invest anywhere globally, they are expanding their reach and presence in the Asian markets. Clearly they believe that investing in Asia will deliver good returns in the future. Private investors can participate more directly by investing in Asia themselves, and gaining better exposure to those companies that are participating fully in the opportunities the region has to offer.

The main factors supporting the growth of Asian markets include:

 1. Growth engines

Emerging Asian economies are some of the fastest growing in the world and investing in the region's equity markets means capturing that potential. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is forecasting real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for China and India of 8.2 per cent and 6.9 per cent, respectively, in 2012, compared with 2.1 per cent for the US and -0.3 per cent for the eurozone. The IMF is forecasting growth of 5.4 per cent in 2012 for the ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam).

Asia is not as dependent exporting to the west. Domestic economies and other Asian economies have become the key drivers of GDP growth in the region. This trend will likely continue with the full implementation of an ASEAN free-trade agreement by 2015.

 2. Rising incomes

Regional governments are shifting economies away from export-led growth to domestic consumption. Rising disposable incomes in the region are driving healthy growth in consumption. According to an OECD report, Asian consumers could account for over 40 per cent of global middle-class consumption by 2020.

In terms of sectors, this should provide a boost to consumer discretionary stocks and services, such as autos, consumer electronics, healthcare and financial services.

 3. Sound finances

Asia had its financial crisis back in 1997-98 when foreign debt-to-GDP ratios rose beyond 180 per cent for the four largest ASEAN economies. Asian countries and companies learned some hard lessons in the aftermath. Indonesia had an estimated public debt to GDP ratio of 24.5 per cent in 2011 compared with 69.4 per cent for the US and 79.5 per cent for the UK. Asian economies now have large foreign exchange reserves, fiscal surpluses and positive trade balances and it is now the turn of developed economies, such as Ireland and Greece, to receive IMF bailouts. The pain of deleveraging of governments, companies and individuals is still ahead for many parts of Europe and this will have ramifications and increased risks for investors in those markets.

Asia's low debt levels combined with high savings rates make this region more resilient to external shocks than other regions in the world. According to the IMF, developing Asia is expected to have a savings rate (as a percentage of GDP) of 43.3 per cent in 2012, compared with 13.1 per cent for the US and 20.3 per cent for the eurozone.

4. Diversification

Asia offers a diverse range of economies, so it can provide an array of investment opportunities for those who don't want to put all their eggs in one basket. China and India offer up consumption and infrastructure plays, whereas Indonesia and Thailand offer commodity and financial consolidation themes.

Even after the rise during the first quarter, it is still a very enticing time to be buying Asian equities. Attractive investment opportunities continue to be available in countries as diverse as Korea, Thailand and China.

LONG TERM OUTPERFORMANCE OF EMERGING ASIAN EQUITIES

Total Returns of equity indices as at 31 March 2012

 

3-Year

5-Year

10-Year

Indonesia

236%

135%

1204%

Thailand

245%

140%

627%

Malaysia

134%

64%

253%

Philippines

160%

73%

298%

China

51%

28%

367%

India

88%

17%

404%

US

89%

11%

51%

Europe

66%

-16%

79%

Source: DataStream, data as at 31 March 2012.  MSCI Total Returns Indices in USD terms.

By David Urquhart
7th May 2012
Source:  Professional Planner    http://www.professionalplanner.com.au

 



28th-June-2012

        
49 Brentford Square Forest Hill VIC 3131  Phone: (03) 9877 7117