Saturday 9 Nov 2024
Latest Financial Planning News
Hot Issues
ATO reviewing all new SMSF registrations to stop illegal early access
Compliance documents crucial for SMSFs
Investment and economic outlook, October 2024
Leaving super to an estate makes more tax sense, says expert
Be clear on TBA pension impact
Caregiving can have a retirement sting
The biggest assets growth areas for SMSFs
20 Years of Silicon Valley Trends: 2004 - 2024 Insights
Investment and economic outlook, September 2024
Economic slowdown drives mixed reporting season
ATO stats show continued growth in SMSF sector
What are the government’s intentions with negative gearing?
A new day for Federal Reserve policy
Age pension fails to meet retirement needs
ASIC extends reportable situations relief and personal advice record-keeping requirements
The Leaders Who Refused to Step Down 1939 - 2024
ATO encourages trustees to use voluntary disclosure service
Beware of terminal illness payout time frame
Capital losses can help reduce NALI
Investment and economic outlook, August 2024
What the Reserve Bank’s rates stance means for property borrowers
How investing regularly can propel your returns
Super sector in ASIC’s sights
Most Popular Operating Systems 1999 - 2022
Treasurer unveils design details for payday super
Government releases details on luxury car tax changes
Our investment and economic outlook, July 2024
Striking a balance in the new financial year
The five reasons why the $A is likely to rise further - if recession is avoided
What super fund members should know when comparing returns
Insurance inside super has tax advantages
Are you receiving Personal Services Income?
It’s never too early to start talking about aged care with clients
Taxing unrealised gains in superannuation under Division 296
Capacity doubts now more common
Articles archive
Quarter 3 July - September 2024
Quarter 2 April - June 2024
Quarter 1 January - March 2024
Quarter 4 October - December 2023
Quarter 3 July - September 2023
Quarter 2 April - June 2023
Quarter 1 January - March 2023
Quarter 4 October - December 2022
Quarter 3 July - September 2022
Quarter 2 April - June 2022
Quarter 1 January - March 2022
Quarter 4 October - December 2021
Quarter 3 July - September 2021
Quarter 2 April - June 2021
Quarter 1 January - March 2021
Quarter 4 October - December 2020
Quarter 3 July - September 2020
Quarter 2 April - June 2020
Quarter 1 January - March 2020
Quarter 4 October - December 2019
Quarter 3 July - September 2019
Quarter 2 April - June 2019
Quarter 1 January - March 2019
Quarter 4 October - December 2018
Quarter 3 July - September 2018
Quarter 2 April - June 2018
Quarter 1 January - March 2018
Quarter 4 October - December 2017
Quarter 3 July - September 2017
Quarter 2 April - June 2017
Quarter 1 January - March 2017
Quarter 4 October - December 2016
Quarter 3 July - September 2016
Quarter 2 April - June 2016
Quarter 1 January - March 2016
Quarter 4 October - December 2015
Quarter 3 July - September 2015
Quarter 2 April - June 2015
Quarter 1 January - March 2015
Quarter 4 October - December 2014
Quarter 3 July - September 2014
Quarter 2 April - June 2014
Quarter 1 January - March 2014
Quarter 4 October - December 2013
Quarter 3 July - September 2013
Quarter 2 April - June 2013
Quarter 1 January - March 2013
Quarter 4 October - December 2012
Quarter 3 July - September 2012
Quarter 2 April - June 2012
Quarter 1 January - March 2012
Quarter 4 October - December 2011
Quarter 3 July - September 2011
Quarter 2 April - June 2011
Quarter 1 January - March 2011
Quarter 4 October - December 2010
Quarter 3 July - September 2010
Quarter 2 April - June 2010
Quarter 1 January - March 2010
Quarter 4 October - December 2009
Quarter 3 July - September 2009
Quarter 2 April - June 2009
Quarter 1 January - March 2009
Quarter 4 October - December 2008
Quarter 3 July - September 2008
Quarter 2 April - June 2008
Quarter 1 January - March 2008
Quarter 4 October - December 2007
Quarter 3 July - September 2007
Quarter 2 April - June 2007
Quarter 1 January - March 2007
Quarter 4 October - December 2006
Quarter 3 July - September 2006
Quarter 1 of 2009
Articles
Recessions don't have to be feared
Industry funds face unlisted assets test

Why super’s still super

A powerful search engine resides on this website.
A few screws loose?
Super & Retirement Question
The true measure of financial strength
Small Business & General Business Tax Break
Investment Markets Data - To 28th February 2009.

Pressure grows on industry super funds

Investors need a get in clause

 
Super beyond the gloom
Reduction to minimum pension drawdowns for 2008/09.
Double-edged sword
Investment Market Data - to 31st January 2009.

Super balances await the recovery

Don't despair, super managers rate fairly well

Lessons learned the hard way

Lessons learned the hard way

By Robin Bowerman
Smart Investing
21st January 2009
Principal & Head of Retail, Vanguard Investments Australia


A generation of investors began the New Year wiser but poorer courtesy of the global financial crisis of 2008.

The lessons of last year are likely to reverberate for many years to come. So it is worthwhile to capture the key lessons - while painfully fresh - as a useful reminder for portfolio reviews in the years ahead.

Lesson 1: Risk is not to be under rated.
In the good times we cannot be complacent about risk. It may have taken market events the likes of which we haven't seen for 70 years to demonstrate it but when risk cannot be accurately priced basically anything can happen. Past performance and valuations are rendered irrelevant at that point. Just ask investors in any of the major US investment banks.

Lesson 2: Markets are powerful forces
The events of 2008 surely puts beyond doubt the notion that as individual investors we can somehow outsmart and swim against market currents.

In a year when it seemed most accepted investment approaches failed to deliver the importance of your asset allocation decision was underscored in red ink.

Clearly how much you have in the various asset classes is the most important decision you make. The corollary to that is the need to be disciplined and rebalance around your target asset allocation to make sure overconfidence and risk does not creep up with buoyant markets.

Lesson 3: Invest in what you understand.
Innovation became a dirty word in terms of investment products. Engineered products like mortgage-backed CDOs were claimed to lower risk by diversification- they actually built a pyramid of systemic risk that ultimately came crashing down on the very people who developed them. They were exposed as wealth creation vehicles for investment bankers simply interested in selling more and more and therein lay the seed of the boom's bust. Investors are entitled to ask how so many smart people got it so wrong: greed and hubris surely were a major part of the answer.

The promises hedge funds and alternative assets generally were exposed and did not deliver on the promises and industry estimates are that around 30% of US hedge funds will shut this year. The lack of transparency and regulation (particularly in the US) meant that many investors did not understand what they were investing in.

Lesson 4: Liquidity is worth something
When credit markets seize up suddenly the value of liquidity is understood and appreciated.

Lesson 5: Ignore the fixed interest markets at your peril
Our willingness to invest more and more of our portfolios in growth markets and shun the unexciting fixed interest world was probably the single biggest mistakes most investors made in the years leading up to 2008. Although the initial impact of the liquidity crisis also affected fixed interest market spreads when the crisis first hit by year end spreads had settled down to more normal ranges. Most impressively investors in high quality fixed interest investments earned double digit returns in 2008 - for example using Vanguard's Index Diversified Bond Fund which invests in 40% Australian fixed interest and 60% international fixed interest as a proxy for fixed interest markets investors earned 11.4% for the year.

It is perhaps salutary to turn back the pages of history and remind ourselves that 50 years or so ago the common investment practice was to have the majority of assets in fixed interest bonds and a small speculative portion in shares. The old-fashioned 1950s approach does not look quite so silly anymore.

Lesson 6: Gearing goes both ways
The most telling sign of over confidence in the ability of equities to deliver long-term returns was the level of gearing or borrowing some investors - with the urging of some advisers -took on.

The combination of borrowed money to buy highly geared products has proven the saddest litany of the 2008. This is also goes to lesson 3 - some of the most "innovative" product developments wrapped up multiple layers of gearing with catastrophic consequences.

Lesson 7: Have a long-term financial plan
If ever there is a year that the financial advice industry has the opportunity to demonstrate its value it ought to be 2009. Strategic asset allocation, risk assessment and portfolio construction are areas where investors will value - and now understand the need - for good advice.

Sadly, the financial planning industry has an ability to shoot itself in the foot. If it were a soccer team it would probably lead the scoring averages for own goals.

The unraveling of the Storm financial gearing model is likely to give the industry its latest black eye.

But there is a need to separate the industry's reputation from the individual adviser. Client feedback and market research has shown over many years that where people have an adviser they trust they give their adviser high scores on client satisfaction criteria.

Having a written financial plan is a powerful way of maintaining a portfolio review discipline while making sure the long-term goals are not lost in the emotion of short-term market movements.

A financial plan is the compass to help navigate the storm.

 

 

 

 



28th-January-2009